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As August arrives, so come thoughts of fall. Here's what to expect in Florida

By Treasure Coast

As August arrives, so come thoughts of fall. Here's what to expect in Florida

Meteorological fall is just weeks away. Find out what meteorologists are forecasting the season to be like in your area.

* Florida's fall forecast is for warm conditions with above-average temperatures.

* Rain? As the tropics heat up, so does the threat for rainfall, especially in the Panhandle and central Florida.

* Overall, though, expect below-average rainfall, according to the Old Farmer's Almanac.

All are in agreement.

Unfortunately.

Florida's fall forecast is for warm conditions with above-average temps. Oh, and any rain will likely be associated with tropical systems.

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As if that isn't enough, some forecasters highlighted the possibility of Florida seeing tornadoes tied to tropical systems in September and October.

So sit back and dream of sweater weather as you sip that pumpkin spice latte as we round up the Florida fall predictions for you.

When is fall 2025?

That depends on which "fall" you're referring to: meteorological or astronomical.

Meteorological fall will start Sept. 1, 2025.

Astronomical fall will start Sept. 22, 2025.

What's the difference between meteorological and astronomical seasons?

Astronomical seasons are marked by equinoxes and solstices, which relate to the position of the earth.

Meteorological seasons are based on annual temperature patterns and cycles.

"Astronomical seasons are based on the position of the Earth in relation to the sun, whereas meteorological seasons are based on the annual temperature cycle," NOAA said.

Meteorological fall lasts for three months, always starting on Sept. 1 and ending on Nov. 30.

The astronomical start of fall -- which is marked by the autumn equinox -- will start Sept. 22, 2025, and ends with the winter solstice, which is on Dec. 21 this year.

* Autumn equinox: Sept. 22, 2:19 p.m. ET, which occurs when the sun is overhead at equator

* Winter solstice: Dec. 21, 10:03 a.m. ET occurs when the sun is overhead at the Tropic of Capricorn

National Weather Service: Florida can expect above-average temps through October

"One of the main headlines for the late summer and early fall is the potential for widespread warmth as above-normal temperatures are favored for virtually the entire nation," according to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center.

"The largest probabilities (greater than 50 percent) of above-normal temperatures are forecast across much of the interior West, Northeast, and southern Florida."

Rain chances for Florida may be above average through October

August through October coincides with the busiest months of the Atlantic hurricane season, affecting rainfall predictions for this period.

➤ National Hurricane Center tracking Invest 96L, Dexter. Is there any threat to Florida?

"With an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season forecast, tropical activity will be a key wildcard in the precipitation distribution along the Gulf and East coasts and adjacent inland areas," the Climate Prediction Center said.

"Above-normal precipitation is favored along much of the Eastern Seaboard westward to the Lower Mississippi Valley."

Colorado State University's updated Atlantic hurricane season prediction released Aug. 6 keeps Florida No. 1 in the U.S. when it comes to risks of named storms, including hurricanes, coming within 50 miles of Florida.

What is the 2025 fall forecast from The Old Farmer's Almanac?

The Old Farmer's Almanac is predicting a warm and dry fall for almost all of the U.S., including Florida. The only exception is expected to be the western portion of the Panhandle.

"For much of the United States, from California to Florida and up to Maine, we should be prepared for below-average rainfall," according to The Old Farmer's Almanac.

Expect conditions in Florida to be warmer and drier than average:

* September:

* October:

AccuWeather: Florida fall temps above average but 'not extreme'

Expect Florida fall temperatures to be a degree or so above average, so not too extreme, said AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Expert Paul Pastelok via an email Aug. 6.

"Sea surface temperature anomalies will continue to run above average which will contribute to above average temperatures, warm nights," Pastelok said.

Don't expect cooler temperatures anytime soon, although "wet periods can lead to a few days of less heat during the afternoons, but still rather humid nights. We are not expecting a major cool down. The warm sea surface temperatures will hold and not permit intense cool downs.

"Warm waters, a dip in the overall jet stream in the east at times, and already moisture in place from recent rain will lead to wet periods, especially across the Florida Panhandle and central Peninsula," Pastelok said. "Elsewhere, rainfall will be closer to average, perhaps slightly drier-than average in the northeast part of the state if tropical systems avoid this area.

"The risk is any tropical impacts which can produce a lot of rain in a short period of time. Late rapid intensification of storms is more likely this year in the Gulf and southwest Atlantic. It is important to be ready and prepared for heavy rain."

AccuWeather is predicting 13 to 18 named storms, seven to 10 hurricanes and three to five major hurricanes this season. Three to six storms could have a direct impact on the U.S.

Florida and the Southeast may experience tornadoes tied to tropical systems in September and October, AccuWeather said.

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